Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Juniata Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101019200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 8,914 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 42101019200 covers part of the Juniata area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 67%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,685
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate48.0%
Median income$13,721
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0007, -75.1151 · click any tract to drill in
Why Juniata scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
48.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Juniata compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 435Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2010)
- 101Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 413Total filings 2020-21
- 5.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Juniata. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Juniata
Against Philadelphia County at 49.1%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 87% of average household income of $13,721, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $996, 29% below the Philadelphia average. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6. Court records carry 435 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 9.4% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101019200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101019200?
Census tract 42101019200 in the Juniata neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101019200?
Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101019200?
48.0% of residents in tract 42101019200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,914.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101019200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 42101019200 considered part of Juniata?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101019200 fall within Juniata (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101019200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 435 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101019200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.38% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101019200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101019200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101019200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101019200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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