Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
West Central Germantown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101023900 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 1,988 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42101023900 covers part of the West Central Germantown area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,988. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,172
Renter share92.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$45,294
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0340, -75.1875 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Central Germantown scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,500 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How West Central Germantown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 2%Grade A
- 55%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 368Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2011)
- 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 185Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Central Germantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Central Germantown
93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $45,294 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.
Court records carry 368 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 16.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 10.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101023900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101023900?
Census tract 42101023900 in the West Central Germantown neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101023900?
Median gross rent is $1,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101023900?
10.9% of residents in tract 42101023900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,988.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101023900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 59th, minority 80th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 42101023900 considered part of West Central Germantown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101023900 fall within West Central Germantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101023900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 368 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101023900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101023900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101023900 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101023900 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101023900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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