Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Tri-Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42133010520 · York County, PA · pop 2,667 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42133010520 covers part of the Tri-Hill area of York County, PA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,667. Cost burden runs 78% here against 42.6% across York County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units921
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$102,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across York County and the region
Centroid at 39.9430, -76.7080 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tri-Hill scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,438 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tri-Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2005)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tri-Hill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 filings here across 6 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $102,207, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the York County average of 4.4 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,438 a month.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133010520
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133010520?
Census tract 42133010520 in the Tri-Hill neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133010520?
Median gross rent is $1,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133010520?
14.9% of residents in tract 42133010520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,667.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133010520?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 89th, minority 38th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 42133010520 considered part of Tri-Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133010520 fall within Tri-Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133010520?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42133010520 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.42% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Was tract 42133010520 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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