Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Central Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Emigsville
Tract 42133021100 ·
York County, PA · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42133021100 sits in the Central Park neighborhood of Emigsville, Pennsylvania eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #37,186 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,389 a month while the average household earns $77,243 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 12%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$77,243
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Central Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Emigsville
Moderate
Within county
66th percentile
#37 of 108 tracts In York County
Elevated
Within state
49th percentile
#1,757 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Emigsville and the region
Centroid at 40.0158, -76.7300 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Emigsville
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Emigsville
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Emigsville
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Emigsville
5.9
How Central Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
32%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
994Total filings over 7 yrs
44.74%Avg annual filing rate
59.4%Peak (2006)
207Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings climbed 223% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Park
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Emigsville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the York County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133021100?
Census tract 42133021100 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133021100?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133021100?
9.3% of residents in tract 42133021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 46th, minority 33th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 42133021100 considered part of Central Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133021100 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133021100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 994 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.74% of renter households, peaking at 59.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42133021100 compare to Emigsville overall?
Tract 42133021100 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Emigsville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Emigsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42133021100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.