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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Emigsville

Tract 42133021100 · York County, PA · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 42133021100 covers part of the Central Park area of Emigsville, PA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 12% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$77,243

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Central Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Emigsville
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 108 tracts In York County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#2,105 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Emigsville and the region

Centroid at 40.0158, -76.7300 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Emigsville
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Emigsville
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Emigsville
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Emigsville
5.9

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0211003.4Emigsvilleparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 994Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 44.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 59.4%Peak (2006)
  • 207Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133021100
Filings climbed 223% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 42.6% across York County.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 994 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Against the York County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2006 at 59.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 44.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,389, close to the Emigsville average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133021100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133021100?

Census tract 42133021100 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133021100?

Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133021100?

9.3% of residents in tract 42133021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,129.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 46th, minority 33th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 42133021100 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133021100 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133021100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 994 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.74% of renter households, peaking at 59.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133021100 compare to Emigsville overall?

Tract 42133021100 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Emigsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Emigsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133021100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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