Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Lightners Tract Eviction Risk: Elevated , North York
Tract 42133021223 · York County, PA · pop 3,152 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42133021223 covers part of the Lightners Tract area of North York, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,152. It sits 2.9 points above the York County average of 4.4.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$61,675
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across North York and the region
Centroid at 39.9870, -76.7384 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lightners Tract scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,136 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from North York
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North York
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from North York
6.0
How Lightners Tract compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lightners Tract
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Average gross rent is $1,136, 8% below the North York average. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $61,675. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133021223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133021223?
Census tract 42133021223 in the Lightners Tract neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133021223?
Median gross rent is $1,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133021223?
16.3% of residents in tract 42133021223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133021223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 43th, minority 54th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 42133021223 considered part of Lightners Tract?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133021223 fall within Lightners Tract (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42133021223 compare to North York overall?
Tract 42133021223 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of North York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42133021223 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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