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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Blossom Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dallastown

Tract 42133023000 · York County, PA · pop 5,260 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 42133023000 covers the Blossom Hill neighborhood of Dallastown, home to 5,260 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,084 a month while the average household earns $60,026 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 36% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$60,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Blossom Hill
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dallastown
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 108 tracts In York County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,449 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dallastown and the region

Centroid at 39.9019, -76.6400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blossom Hill scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dallastown
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dallastown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dallastown
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dallastown
5.4

How Blossom Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blossom Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 023000Dallastown: 3.83.8Dallastownparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 797Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 12.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak (2005)
  • 82Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 421330230002000: 131 filings (13.89/100 renter HHs)2001: 108 filings (11.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 115 filings (12.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 124 filings (13.15/100 renter HHs)2004: 105 filings (11.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 132 filings (13.70/100 renter HHs)2006: 82 filings (8.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blossom Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blossom Hill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dallastown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the York County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 797 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 12.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.7% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133023000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133023000?

Census tract 42133023000 in the Blossom Hill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133023000?

Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133023000?

9.4% of residents in tract 42133023000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,260.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133023000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 56th, minority 15th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 42133023000 considered part of Blossom Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133023000 fall within Blossom Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133023000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 797 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133023000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.01% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133023000 compare to Dallastown overall?

Tract 42133023000 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dallastown at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dallastown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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