Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Presidential Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Shrewsbury
Tract 42133023823 · York County, PA · pop 4,457 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
42133023823 is a census tract in the Presidential Heights area of Shrewsbury, PA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,834
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$103,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shrewsbury and the region
Centroid at 39.7451, -76.6552 · click any tract to drill in
Why Presidential Heights scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shrewsbury
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shrewsbury
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shrewsbury
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shrewsbury
5.6
How Presidential Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Presidential Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Presidential Heights
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.6% across York County.
It sits 1.2 points below the York County average of 4.4. Average gross rent is $1,138, 9% above the Shrewsbury average.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $103,513, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133023823
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133023823?
Census tract 42133023823 in the Presidential Heights neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133023823?
Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133023823?
5.1% of residents in tract 42133023823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,457.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133023823?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 42th, minority 14th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 42133023823 considered part of Presidential Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133023823 fall within Presidential Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42133023823 compare to Shrewsbury overall?
Tract 42133023823 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Shrewsbury at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shrewsbury; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shrewsbury
Top eight tracts in Shrewsbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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