Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warwick
Tract 44003021100 ·
Kent County, RI · pop 4,627 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 44003021100 in the Lincoln Park area of Warwick, RI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,627 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 22%Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,216
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$84,730
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lincoln Park
Moderate
Within parent city
81th percentile
#5 of 22 tracts In Warwick
High
Within county
92th percentile
#4 of 39 tracts In Kent County
Very High
Within state
59th percentile
#101 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warwick and the region
Centroid at 41.7425, -71.4343 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warwick
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,275 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warwick
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warwick
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warwick
5.6
How Lincoln Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
42%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.4%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Park
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Against the Kent County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,275, close to the Warwick average.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $84,730. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44003021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44003021100?
Census tract 44003021100 in the Lincoln Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44003021100?
Median gross rent is $1,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44003021100?
12.1% of residents in tract 44003021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44003021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 48th, minority 16th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 44003021100 considered part of Lincoln Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44003021100 fall within Lincoln Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 44003021100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 44003021100 compare to Warwick overall?
Tract 44003021100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Warwick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warwick
Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.