Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warwick
Tract 44003021200 ·
Kent County, RI · pop 3,632 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 44003021200 sits in the Spring Green area of Warwick eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 3,632 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 5%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,636
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$87,209
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Spring Green
Moderate
Within parent city
57th percentile
#10 of 22 tracts In Warwick
Elevated
Within county
58th percentile
#17 of 39 tracts In Kent County
Elevated
Within state
44th percentile
#138 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warwick and the region
Centroid at 41.7471, -71.4111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Green scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warwick
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,053 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warwick
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warwick
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warwick
5.6
How Spring Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
48%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.2%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Green
Against Kent County at 46.6%, 76% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,053, 23% below the Warwick average.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $87,209, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Kent County average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44003021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44003021200?
Census tract 44003021200 in the Spring Green neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44003021200?
Median gross rent is $1,053/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44003021200?
5.3% of residents in tract 44003021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,632.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44003021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 34th, minority 51th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 44003021200 considered part of Spring Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44003021200 fall within Spring Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 44003021200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 44003021200 compare to Warwick overall?
Tract 44003021200 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Warwick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warwick
Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.