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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Forestdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , North Charleston

Tract 45019003104 · Charleston County, SC · pop 5,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 45019003104 reflects conditions in the Forestdale area of North Charleston, South Carolina. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,229 monthly, set against $44,515 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 42% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$44,515

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forestdale
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 31 tracts In North Charleston
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 98 tracts In Charleston County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#269 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across North Charleston and the region

Centroid at 32.9290, -80.0393 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forestdale scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North Charleston
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Charleston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Charleston
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Charleston
3.0

How Forestdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forestdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 003104North Charleston: 2.62.6North Charlestonparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,388Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 50.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 61.7%Peak (2012)
  • 421Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450190031042012: 725 filings (61.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 596 filings (50.72/100 renter HHs)2014: 646 filings (54.98/100 renter HHs)2015: 421 filings (35.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,839Total filings 2020-21
  • 23.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 50.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 41 filings (0.64× baseline)2020-02-01: 60 filings (1.24× baseline)2020-03-01: 41 filings (0.82× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 7 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-06-01: 15 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-07-01: 18 filings (0.35× baseline)2020-08-01: 13 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-09-01: 17 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-10-01: 20 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-11-01: 15 filings (0.28× baseline)2020-12-01: 22 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-01-01: 28 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-02-01: 10 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-03-01: 17 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-04-01: 17 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-05-01: 26 filings (0.48× baseline)2021-06-01: 22 filings (0.37× baseline)2021-07-01: 24 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-08-01: 17 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-09-01: 29 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-10-01: 33 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-11-01: 28 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-12-01: 20 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-01-01: 17 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-02-01: 26 filings (0.54× baseline)2022-03-01: 23 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-04-01: 21 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-05-01: 25 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-06-01: 25 filings (0.41× baseline)2022-07-01: 34 filings (0.66× baseline)2022-08-01: 24 filings (0.39× baseline)2022-09-01: 19 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 16 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-11-01: 16 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-12-01: 13 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-01-01: 31 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-02-01: 26 filings (0.54× baseline)2023-03-01: 25 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 20 filings (0.41× baseline)2023-05-01: 15 filings (0.28× baseline)2023-06-01: 24 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-07-01: 33 filings (0.64× baseline)2023-08-01: 22 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-09-01: 28 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-10-01: 25 filings (0.45× baseline)2023-11-01: 19 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-12-01: 20 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-01-01: 45 filings (0.70× baseline)2024-02-01: 36 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-03-01: 27 filings (0.54× baseline)2024-04-01: 30 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-05-01: 21 filings (0.39× baseline)2024-06-01: 24 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 32 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-08-01: 28 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-09-01: 23 filings (0.39× baseline)2024-10-01: 44 filings (0.79× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (0.26× baseline)2024-12-01: 32 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 18 filings (0.28× baseline)2025-02-01: 45 filings (0.93× baseline)2025-03-01: 20 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-04-01: 28 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 24 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-06-01: 26 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-07-01: 45 filings (0.88× baseline)2025-08-01: 31 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-09-01: 32 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-10-01: 45 filings (0.81× baseline)2025-11-01: 56 filings (1.06× baseline)2025-12-01: 26 filings (0.55× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Charleston, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forestdale

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from North Charleston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Charleston County average of 5.2 and in line with the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.47x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 45019003104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45019003104?

Census tract 45019003104 in the Forestdale neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45019003104?

Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45019003104?

22.3% of residents in tract 45019003104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45019003104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 74th, minority 85th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 45019003104 considered part of Forestdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45019003104 fall within Forestdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45019003104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,388 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 45019003104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 50.81% of renter households, peaking at 61.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 45019003104 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Charleston eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 45019003104 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 45019003104 compare to North Charleston overall?

Tract 45019003104 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of North Charleston at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Charleston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in North Charleston

Top eight tracts in North Charleston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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