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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Monte Carlo MHC Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunean

Tract 45045002107 · Greenville County, SC · pop 2,530 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 45045002107, in the Monte Carlo MHC area of Dunean, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,530. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $973 a month against an average household income of $40,500 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,208
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$40,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Monte Carlo MHC
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Dunean
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 123 tracts In Greenville County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#298 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunean and the region

Centroid at 34.8167, -82.4267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Monte Carlo MHC scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dunean
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunean
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunean
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunean
6.7

How Monte Carlo MHC compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Monte Carlo MHC risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 002107Dunean: 2.92.9Duneanparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 871Total filings 2020-21
  • 12.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 18.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2025-10-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 27 filings (1.48× baseline)2020-02-01: 20 filings (1.08× baseline)2020-03-01: 10 filings (0.60× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 18 filings (1.09× baseline)2020-06-01: 15 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 15 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-08-01: 17 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-09-01: 25 filings (1.32× baseline)2020-10-01: 22 filings (1.01× baseline)2020-11-01: 12 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 18 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-01-01: 12 filings (0.66× baseline)2021-02-01: 16 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-03-01: 13 filings (0.78× baseline)2021-04-01: 12 filings (0.81× baseline)2021-05-01: 11 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 16 filings (0.85× baseline)2021-07-01: 13 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-08-01: 15 filings (0.66× baseline)2021-09-01: 12 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-10-01: 28 filings (1.29× baseline)2021-11-01: 12 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 14 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-01-01: 13 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-02-01: 23 filings (1.28× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-04-01: 21 filings (1.42× baseline)2022-05-01: 12 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-06-01: 16 filings (0.85× baseline)2022-07-01: 13 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-08-01: 16 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (0.58× baseline)2022-10-01: 10 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-11-01: 12 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-12-01: 17 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-01-01: 12 filings (0.66× baseline)2023-02-01: 12 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 11 filings (0.66× baseline)2023-04-01: 12 filings (0.81× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 13 filings (0.69× baseline)2023-07-01: 13 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-09-01: 16 filings (0.84× baseline)2023-10-01: 14 filings (0.64× baseline)2023-11-01: 14 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.26× baseline)2024-01-01: 15 filings (0.82× baseline)2024-02-01: 7 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-03-01: 11 filings (0.66× baseline)2024-04-01: 10 filings (0.68× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-06-01: 10 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-07-01: 12 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-08-01: 9 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-09-01: 7 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 8 filings (0.42× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (0.38× baseline)2025-02-01: 7 filings (0.39× baseline)2025-03-01: 7 filings (0.42× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 9 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-08-01: 7 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-09-01: 15 filings (0.79× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Monte Carlo MHC. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Monte Carlo MHC

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dunean, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greenville County average of 5.6 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45045002107

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045002107?

Census tract 45045002107 in the Monte Carlo MHC neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45045002107?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45045002107?

15.5% of residents in tract 45045002107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,530.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45045002107?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 33th, minority 59th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 45045002107 considered part of Monte Carlo MHC?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045002107 fall within Monte Carlo MHC (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 45045002107 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45045002107 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45045002107 compare to Dunean overall?

Tract 45045002107 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dunean at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunean; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dunean

Top eight tracts in Dunean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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