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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Berea

Tract 45045003706 · Greenville County, SC · pop 3,418 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In Forest Ridge in Berea, census tract 45045003706 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #13,400 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,056 monthly, set against $48,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 23% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$48,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Berea
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 123 tracts In Greenville County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#330 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berea and the region

Centroid at 34.8819, -82.4572 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Ridge scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berea
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berea
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berea
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berea
8.0

How Forest Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 003706Berea: 2.82.8Bereaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,284Total filings 2020-21
  • 18.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 16.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2025-10-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 35 filings (1.79× baseline)2020-02-01: 32 filings (2.56× baseline)2020-03-01: 20 filings (1.48× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 16 filings (1.05× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-07-01: 5 filings (0.28× baseline)2020-08-01: 22 filings (1.22× baseline)2020-09-01: 8 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-10-01: 13 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-11-01: 24 filings (1.81× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-01-01: 11 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-02-01: 8 filings (0.64× baseline)2021-03-01: 18 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 12 filings (0.72× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-06-01: 12 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-07-01: 17 filings (0.96× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (0.39× baseline)2021-09-01: 25 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-10-01: 40 filings (2.05× baseline)2021-11-01: 28 filings (2.11× baseline)2021-12-01: 30 filings (1.69× baseline)2022-01-01: 26 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-02-01: 33 filings (2.64× baseline)2022-03-01: 27 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 21 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-05-01: 32 filings (2.10× baseline)2022-06-01: 23 filings (1.19× baseline)2022-07-01: 29 filings (1.63× baseline)2022-08-01: 31 filings (1.72× baseline)2022-09-01: 28 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-10-01: 19 filings (0.97× baseline)2022-11-01: 20 filings (1.51× baseline)2022-12-01: 21 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-01-01: 12 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 24 filings (1.57× baseline)2023-06-01: 11 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-07-01: 31 filings (1.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 15 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (0.70× baseline)2023-10-01: 16 filings (0.82× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-12-01: 16 filings (0.90× baseline)2024-01-01: 30 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-02-01: 13 filings (1.04× baseline)2024-03-01: 18 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 22 filings (1.31× baseline)2024-05-01: 25 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-06-01: 25 filings (1.30× baseline)2024-07-01: 19 filings (1.07× baseline)2024-08-01: 24 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 17 filings (0.85× baseline)2024-10-01: 14 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-11-01: 12 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-12-01: 15 filings (0.85× baseline)2025-01-01: 20 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-02-01: 15 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-03-01: 17 filings (1.26× baseline)2025-04-01: 16 filings (0.96× baseline)2025-05-01: 20 filings (1.31× baseline)2025-06-01: 25 filings (1.30× baseline)2025-07-01: 15 filings (0.85× baseline)2025-08-01: 16 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-09-01: 15 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Berea eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greenville County average of 5.6 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45045003706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045003706?

Census tract 45045003706 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45045003706?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45045003706?

15.4% of residents in tract 45045003706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,418.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45045003706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 100th, minority 79th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 45045003706 considered part of Forest Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045003706 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 45045003706 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45045003706 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45045003706 compare to Berea overall?

Tract 45045003706 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Berea at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berea

Top eight tracts in Berea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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