Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
The Vinings at Duncan Chapel Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sans Souci
Tract 45045003804 · Greenville County, SC · pop 2,588 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 45045003804 sits in the The Vinings at Duncan Chapel area of Sans Souci, SC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 2,588 residents. Cost burden runs 68% here against 45.8% across Greenville County.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,210
Renter share24.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$56,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sans Souci and the region
Centroid at 34.9095, -82.4439 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Vinings at Duncan Chapel scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sans Souci
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,131 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sans Souci
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sans Souci
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sans Souci
6.6
How The Vinings at Duncan Chapel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 343Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Vinings at Duncan Chapel
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,131, 13% above the Sans Souci average. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Greenville County average of 4.1 closely.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $56,170.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45045003804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045003804?
Census tract 45045003804 in the The Vinings at Duncan Chapel neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45045003804?
Median gross rent is $1,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45045003804?
8.3% of residents in tract 45045003804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45045003804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 38th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 45045003804 considered part of The Vinings at Duncan Chapel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045003804 fall within The Vinings at Duncan Chapel (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 45045003804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45045003804 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45045003804 compare to Sans Souci overall?
Tract 45045003804 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Sans Souci at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sans Souci; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sans Souci
Top eight tracts in Sans Souci ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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