Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 45079011417 · Richland County, SC · pop 9,241 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 45079011417 covers part of the Winchester area of Richland County, SC, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units3,635
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$69,763
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richland County and the region
Centroid at 34.1486, -80.8993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,003 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,574Total filings over 5 yrs
- 35.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.9%Peak (2011)
- 249Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
Cost burden runs 73% here against 49.7% across Richland County. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 54.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $69,763, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,574 evictions over 5 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Richland County average of 4.2. The worst year on record was 2011, when 37.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 35.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 45079011417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45079011417?
Census tract 45079011417 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45079011417?
Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45079011417?
7.9% of residents in tract 45079011417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45079011417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 65th, minority 90th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 45079011417 considered part of Winchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45079011417 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45079011417?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,574 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45079011417 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.27% of renter households, peaking at 37.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45079011417 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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