Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Jacobs Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 45079011425 ·
Richland County, SC · pop 3,990 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
45079011425 is a census tract in the Jacobs Creek area of Richland County, SC. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,990 residents. The severe-burden share is 72%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 2%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,552
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$47,262
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Jacobs Creek
Moderate
Within county
94th percentile
#7 of 98 tracts In Richland County
Very High
Within state
96th percentile
#51 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Very High
National
74th percentile
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richland County and the region
Centroid at 34.1492, -80.8475 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacobs Creek scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Jacobs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.8%Housing insecurity
14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
13.4%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacobs Creek
Against Richland County at 49.7%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $47,262, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Richland County average of 4.2.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45079011425
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45079011425?
Census tract 45079011425 in the Jacobs Creek neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45079011425?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45079011425?
23.7% of residents in tract 45079011425 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,990.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45079011425?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 75th, minority 79th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 45079011425 considered part of Jacobs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45079011425 fall within Jacobs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45079011425 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.