Downtown Knoxville Eviction Risk: Moderate

90% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Knox County average of 40.9%. Annualized rent equals 840% of average household income of $2,499, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

At $1,750 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Knoxville commands. The poverty rate is 87%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Disability prevalence runs 50.7% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Knox County average of 3.7. The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.