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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Midtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Memphis

Tract 47157003100 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,448 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 47157003100 sits in the Midtown area of Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 3,448. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 26% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,730
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$59,706

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Midtown
Very High
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#157 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#861 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1329, -89.9798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Midtown scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Midtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Midtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0031004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 206Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Midtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Midtown

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.7 points below the Shelby County average of 4.3.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. Average gross rent is $1,117, close to the Memphis average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $59,706.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157003100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157003100?

Census tract 47157003100 in the Midtown neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157003100?

Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157003100?

8.5% of residents in tract 47157003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,448.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157003100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 2th, minority 54th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 47157003100 considered part of Midtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157003100 fall within Midtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157003100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157003100 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157003100 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157003100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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