Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Midtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Memphis
Tract 47157003100 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,448 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.7/10 for census tract 47157003100 reflects conditions in the Midtown neighborhood of Memphis, Tennessee. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,117 a month while the average household earns $59,706 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,730
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$59,706
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.1329, -89.9798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Midtown scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Midtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 32%Grade A
- 67%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Midtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Midtown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.51x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157003100?
Census tract 47157003100 in the Midtown neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157003100?
Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157003100?
8.5% of residents in tract 47157003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,448.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 2th, minority 54th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 47157003100 considered part of Midtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157003100 fall within Midtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157003100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157003100 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157003100 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47157003100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Frayser
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Crosstown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Binghampton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022310
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157010500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related