Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Messina Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio
Tract 48029121905 · Bexar, TX · pop 6,555 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 48029121905 sits in the Messina area of San Antonio eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,555. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,703
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$146,544
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Antonio and the region
Centroid at 29.6536, -98.4303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Messina scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,690 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0
How Messina compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 7 yrs
- 23.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.6%Peak (2008)
- 12Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Messina
Against Bexar County at 48.2%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,690, 28% above the San Antonio average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
It sits 1.1 points below the Bexar County average of 4.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The voucher gap is 12.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2008, when 20.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 23.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $146,544, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48029121905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029121905?
Census tract 48029121905 in the Messina neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48029121905?
Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48029121905?
6.7% of residents in tract 48029121905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,555.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48029121905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 25th, minority 69th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 48029121905 considered part of Messina?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029121905 fall within Messina (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029121905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48029121905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.66% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48029121905 compare to San Antonio overall?
Tract 48029121905 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio
Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48029120502
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029161303
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029180503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Woodlawn Lake
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029191003
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029152201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029120503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029161304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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