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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Messina Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio

Tract 48029121905 · Bexar, TX · pop 6,555 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up the Messina neighborhood of San Antonio, census tract 48029121905 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #46,588 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,690 a month while the average household earns $146,544 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 17% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,703
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$146,544

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Messina
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#306 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#332 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Very Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#5,298 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.6536, -98.4303 · click any tract to drill in

Why Messina scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,690 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Messina compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Messina risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 121905San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 23.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak (2008)
  • 12Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291219052000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (47.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (59.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (11.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)2006: 10 filings (17.16/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (20.60/100 renter HHs)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Messina

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 23.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.6% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029121905

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029121905?

Census tract 48029121905 in the Messina neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029121905?

Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029121905?

6.7% of residents in tract 48029121905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,555.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029121905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 25th, minority 69th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 48029121905 considered part of Messina?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029121905 fall within Messina (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029121905?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48029121905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.66% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029121905 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029121905 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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