Boca Chica and Medford Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reid Hope King

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cameron County average of 42.8%. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1.3/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cameron County average of 3.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.