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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,365 of 84,120 nationally

Fifth Ward Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201211400 · Harris, TX · pop 4,127 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 48201211400 belongs to Fifth Ward in Houston, Texas. It is home to 4,127 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,041 monthly, set against $74,318 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 24% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,630
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$74,318

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 6 tracts In Fifth Ward
Very Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileBottomTop
#370 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileBottomTop
#406 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileBottomTop
#1,976 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7658, -95.3289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fifth Ward scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,041 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Fifth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fifth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 211400Houston: 2.72.7Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 504Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2013)
  • 90Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482012114002009: 63 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2010: 42 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2011: 71 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (7.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 92 filings (10.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 76 filings (8.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 90 filings (9.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 627Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (0.90× baseline)2020-02-01: 10 filings (2.86× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.39× baseline)2022-02-01: 18 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 12 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 14 filings (1.04× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 13 filings (2.48× baseline)2023-01-01: 11 filings (1.42× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-07-01: 10 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 19 filings (3.17× baseline)2023-09-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2023-10-01: 15 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 11 filings (2.10× baseline)2024-01-01: 15 filings (1.94× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (2.57× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-05-01: 9 filings (0.90× baseline)2024-06-01: 7 filings (0.52× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-10-01: 19 filings (3.80× baseline)2024-11-01: 17 filings (3.40× baseline)2024-12-01: 23 filings (4.38× baseline)2025-01-01: 13 filings (1.68× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (0.59× baseline)2025-07-01: 16 filings (2.13× baseline)2025-08-01: 21 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-09-01: 20 filings (2.76× baseline)2025-10-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2025-11-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2025-12-01: 36 filings (6.86× baseline)2026-01-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fifth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fifth Ward

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.25x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201211400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211400?

Census tract 48201211400 in the Fifth Ward neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201211400?

Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211400?

20.0% of residents in tract 48201211400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,127.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 64th, minority 90th, housing 70th.

Q5

Is tract 48201211400 considered part of Fifth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211400 fall within Fifth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201211400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 504 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201211400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.06% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201211400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q8

How does tract 48201211400 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201211400 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 48201211400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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