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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201221501 · Harris, TX · pop 5,636 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

48201221501 is a census tract in the Melrose Park area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,636 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,504
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$54,070

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Melrose Park
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#235 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8620, -95.3930 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,149 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Melrose Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2215013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 116Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose Park

Adults with no health insurance runs 43.2% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. At $1,149 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Houston commands. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $54,070.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201221501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221501?

Census tract 48201221501 in the Melrose Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201221501?

Median gross rent is $1,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221501?

23.0% of residents in tract 48201221501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,636.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 48201221501 considered part of Melrose Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221501 fall within Melrose Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201221501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201221501 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201221501 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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