Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201221501 · Harris, TX · pop 5,636 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Melrose Park neighborhood of Houston centers on tract 48201221501, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,636 residents. On the national scale it ranks #37,417 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,149 monthly, set against $54,070 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,504
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$54,070
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8620, -95.3930 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,149 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Melrose Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 116Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201221501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221501?
Census tract 48201221501 in the Melrose Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201221501?
Median gross rent is $1,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221501?
23.0% of residents in tract 48201221501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 48201221501 considered part of Melrose Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221501 fall within Melrose Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201221501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201221501 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201221501 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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