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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Briar Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201451700 · Harris, TX · pop 4,429 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 48201451700 in the Briar Park neighborhood of Houston ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,429 residents. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,280 monthly, set against $44,661 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 25% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,019
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$44,661

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Briar Park
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#262 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#309 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,216 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7325, -95.6332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Briar Park scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Briar Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Briar Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 451700Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,359Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 22.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 44.2%Peak (2010)
  • 145Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482014517002009: 243 filings (26.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 329 filings (44.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 117 filings (13.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 204 filings (23.26/100 renter HHs)2013: 177 filings (20.18/100 renter HHs)2014: 144 filings (16.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 145 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,045Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 36 filings (2.94× baseline)2020-02-01: 22 filings (1.96× baseline)2020-03-01: 20 filings (2.76× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 4 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2020-09-01: 8 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-10-01: 14 filings (1.70× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-12-01: 57 filings (4.56× baseline)2021-01-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-10-01: 8 filings (0.97× baseline)2021-11-01: 12 filings (0.81× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-01-01: 10 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-02-01: 9 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-03-01: 25 filings (3.45× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-05-01: 16 filings (1.31× baseline)2022-06-01: 22 filings (0.81× baseline)2022-07-01: 31 filings (1.65× baseline)2022-08-01: 20 filings (0.98× baseline)2022-09-01: 20 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-10-01: 17 filings (2.06× baseline)2022-11-01: 10 filings (0.68× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-01-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (0.82× baseline)2023-03-01: 18 filings (2.48× baseline)2023-04-01: 14 filings (1.65× baseline)2023-05-01: 19 filings (1.55× baseline)2023-06-01: 11 filings (0.41× baseline)2023-07-01: 16 filings (0.85× baseline)2023-08-01: 21 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 21 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (0.81× baseline)2023-12-01: 10 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-01-01: 18 filings (1.47× baseline)2024-02-01: 10 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2024-04-01: 17 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 17 filings (1.39× baseline)2024-06-01: 10 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-07-01: 7 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-08-01: 12 filings (0.59× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (0.79× baseline)2024-10-01: 26 filings (3.15× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (0.54× baseline)2024-12-01: 17 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-01-01: 18 filings (1.47× baseline)2025-02-01: 21 filings (1.91× baseline)2025-03-01: 11 filings (1.52× baseline)2025-04-01: 15 filings (1.76× baseline)2025-05-01: 20 filings (1.63× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (0.19× baseline)2025-07-01: 20 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-08-01: 31 filings (1.51× baseline)2025-09-01: 15 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-10-01: 28 filings (3.39× baseline)2025-11-01: 18 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-12-01: 22 filings (1.76× baseline)2026-01-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Briar Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Briar Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,359 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 22.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 44.2% of renter households in 2010.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.04x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201451700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201451700?

Census tract 48201451700 in the Briar Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201451700?

Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201451700?

21.1% of residents in tract 48201451700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201451700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 43th, minority 86th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 48201451700 considered part of Briar Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201451700 fall within Briar Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201451700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,359 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201451700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.89% of renter households, peaking at 44.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201451700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201451700 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201451700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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