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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Green Trails Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201454503 · Harris, TX · pop 2,875 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201454503 in the Green Trails Forest area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,875 residents. The severe-burden share is 100%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,083
Renter share0.7%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$127,465

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Green Trails Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#858 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#931 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7717, -95.7091 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Trails Forest scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Green Trails Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Trails Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 4545033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.33×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Trails Forest

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201454503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201454503?

Census tract 48201454503 in the Green Trails Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201454503?

1.1% of residents in tract 48201454503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,875.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201454503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 48th, housing 8th.
Q4

Is tract 48201454503 considered part of Green Trails Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201454503 fall within Green Trails Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48201454503 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48201454503 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201454503 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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