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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201521502 · Harris, TX · pop 2,893 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

48201521502 is a census tract in the Spring Branch area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,893. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$89,096

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Spring Branch
Very Low
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#931 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#970 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8277, -95.5160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Branch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,787 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Spring Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5215023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 30Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.30×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Branch

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $1,787 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Houston commands.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.4% against 11.3% nationally. The voucher gap is 16.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $89,096.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201521502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201521502?

Census tract 48201521502 in the Spring Branch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201521502?

Median gross rent is $1,787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201521502?

9.0% of residents in tract 48201521502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,893.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201521502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 71th, minority 79th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 48201521502 considered part of Spring Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201521502 fall within Spring Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201521502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201521502 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201521502 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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