Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Forestwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201533803 · Harris, TX · pop 6,602 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 48201533803 covers part of the Forestwood area of Harris County, TX, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,852
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$61,029
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9088, -95.4518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestwood scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,431 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
5.0
How Forestwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 97Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forestwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestwood
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,431 a month.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $61,029.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201533803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201533803?
Census tract 48201533803 in the Forestwood neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201533803?
Median gross rent is $1,431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201533803?
16.1% of residents in tract 48201533803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,602.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201533803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 82th, minority 95th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 48201533803 considered part of Forestwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201533803 fall within Forestwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201533803 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201533803 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201533803 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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