Paddock Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

At $2,219 a month, rents run 63% over what the rest of Houston commands. The voucher gap is 45.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $74,154 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.5% against 11.3% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.