Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Paddock Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201543009 · Harris, TX · pop 5,104 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Paddock area of Houston anchors census tract 48201543009, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 89% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,219 a month against an average household income of $74,154 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$74,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8876, -95.7004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paddock scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$2,219 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Paddock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 125Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Paddock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paddock
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.59x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201543009
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201543009?
Census tract 48201543009 in the Paddock neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201543009?
Median gross rent is $2,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201543009?
24.3% of residents in tract 48201543009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,104.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201543009?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 41th, minority 91th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 48201543009 considered part of Paddock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201543009 fall within Paddock (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201543009 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201543009 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201543009 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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