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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Grants Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201552604 · Harris, TX · pop 3,571 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 48201552604 in the Grants Trace area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 89%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 2% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,157
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$73,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grants Trace
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#319 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#349 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9641, -95.5739 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grants Trace scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$978 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Grants Trace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grants Trace risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 5526043.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 36Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grants Trace

93% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Harris County average of 49.5%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $978 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $73,967, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201552604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201552604?

Census tract 48201552604 in the Grants Trace neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201552604?

Median gross rent is $978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 93% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201552604?

26.4% of residents in tract 48201552604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201552604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 89th, minority 92th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 48201552604 considered part of Grants Trace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201552604 fall within Grants Trace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201552604 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201552604 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201552604 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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