Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Sera Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201554904 · Harris, TX · pop 4,008 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
48201554904 is a census tract in the Bella Sera area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$113,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 30.0700, -95.5212 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Sera scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,283 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Bella Sera compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Sera
At $2,283 a month, rents run 68% over what the rest of Houston commands. The voucher gap is 49.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Against Harris County at 49.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201554904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201554904?
Census tract 48201554904 in the Bella Sera neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201554904?
Median gross rent is $2,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201554904?
4.8% of residents in tract 48201554904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,008.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201554904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 66th, minority 64th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 48201554904 considered part of Bella Sera?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201554904 fall within Bella Sera (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201554904 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201554904 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201554904 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Wayside Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Meadowbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mykawa
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Maplewood South/North
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Timbergrove Manor Section 13
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Magnolia Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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