Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Ariel Hinojosa Colonia Eviction Risk: Lower , Mission

Tract 48215020208 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 48215020208 in the Ariel Hinojosa Colonia area of Mission, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,248 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 9% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share20.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$44,844

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ariel Hinojosa Colonia
Moderate
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 23 tracts In Mission
Elevated
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,880 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission and the region

Centroid at 26.2261, -98.3593 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ariel Hinojosa Colonia scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mission
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$820 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mission
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mission
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mission
6.1

How Ariel Hinojosa Colonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ariel Hinojosa Colonia risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0202083.7Missionparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ariel Hinojosa Colonia

Adults with no health insurance runs 38.4% against 11.3% nationally. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $820, 14% below the Mission average. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Mission eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hidalgo County average of 3.9 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $44,844.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020208?

Census tract 48215020208 in the Ariel Hinojosa Colonia neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020208?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020208?

23.2% of residents in tract 48215020208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 94th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020208 considered part of Ariel Hinojosa Colonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020208 fall within Ariel Hinojosa Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020208 compare to Mission overall?

Tract 48215020208 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Mission at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission

Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related