Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Ariel Hinojosa Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mission

Tract 48215020208 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Ariel Hinojosa Colonia neighborhood of Mission, census tract 48215020208 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #46,823 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $820 monthly, set against $44,844 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 9% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,227

Renter share20.5%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate23.2%

Median income$44,844

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission and the region

Centroid at 26.2261, -98.3593 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ariel Hinojosa Colonia scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

23.2% poverty · this tract

5.8

Supply constraint

$820 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mission

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mission

6.1

How Ariel Hinojosa Colonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ariel Hinojosa Colonia

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mission eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020208

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020208?

Census tract 48215020208 in the Ariel Hinojosa Colonia neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48215020208?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020208?

23.2% of residents in tract 48215020208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 94th, housing 47th.

Is tract 48215020208 considered part of Ariel Hinojosa Colonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020208 fall within Ariel Hinojosa Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48215020208 compare to Mission overall?

Tract 48215020208 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mission at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission

Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.