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Census Tract · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

McAllen Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48215020509 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,014

Census tract 48215020509 belongs to McAllen, Texas. It is home to 3,014 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $940 monthly, set against $40,851 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 30% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units900
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate39.1%
Median income$40,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 53 tracts In McAllen
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6,848 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.1607, -98.2682 · click any tract to drill in

Why McAllen scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.1% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How McAllen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McAllen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 020509McAllen: 2.92.9McAllenparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McAllen

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McAllen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020509

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020509?

Census tract 48215020509 in McAllen scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020509?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020509?

39.1% of residents in tract 48215020509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,014.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 82th, minority 100th, housing 48th.
Q5

How does tract 48215020509 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020509 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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