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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

McAllen Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48215020507 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 2,299

48215020507 is a census tract in McAllen, TX. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,299 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 50.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 21% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units625
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$23,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.1628, -98.2497 · click any tract to drill in

Why McAllen scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$860 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How McAllen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McAllen risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0205073.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McAllen

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $23,591, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 50.5% against 31.5% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.6/10. At $860 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of McAllen commands.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. It sits 0.8 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9.

That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020507?

Census tract 48215020507 in McAllen scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020507?

Median gross rent is $860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020507?

30.5% of residents in tract 48215020507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,299.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 82th, minority 98th, housing 35th.
Q5

How does tract 48215020507 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020507 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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