Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Port Arthur Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48245007002 · Jefferson, TX · pop 5,195 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Port Arthur

For landlords sizing up Port Arthur, census tract 48245007002 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $964 a month against an average household income of $45,469 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 70% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 39% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,927

Renter share70.5%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate37.0%

Median income$45,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Port Arthur and the region

Centroid at 29.9359, -93.9554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Arthur scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Port Arthur

2.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

37.0% poverty · this tract

9.3

Supply constraint

$964 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Port Arthur

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Port Arthur

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Port Arthur

8.6

How Port Arthur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Arthur

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Port Arthur, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.4 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48245007002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48245007002?

Census tract 48245007002 in Port Arthur scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48245007002?

Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48245007002?

37.0% of residents in tract 48245007002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,195.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48245007002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 84th, housing 84th.

How does tract 48245007002 compare to Port Arthur overall?

Tract 48245007002 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Port Arthur at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Port Arthur; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 48245007002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Port Arthur

Top eight tracts in Port Arthur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.