Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Mustang Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Port Aransas
Tract 48355005103 · Nueces, TX · pop 2,119 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
48355005103 is a census tract in the Mustang Beach area of Port Aransas, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,119. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units874
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$99,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Port Aransas and the region
Centroid at 27.8209, -97.0892 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mustang Beach scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Port Aransas
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$3,333 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Port Aransas
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Port Aransas
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Port Aransas
7.0
How Mustang Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mustang Beach
84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Nueces County average of 48.0%. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,333 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Port Aransas commands.
The voucher gap is 139.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $99,643, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Nueces County average of 3.8.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48355005103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48355005103?
Census tract 48355005103 in the Mustang Beach neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48355005103?
Median gross rent is $3,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48355005103?
13.1% of residents in tract 48355005103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,119.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48355005103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 40th, minority 35th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 48355005103 considered part of Mustang Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48355005103 fall within Mustang Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48355005103 compare to Port Aransas overall?
Tract 48355005103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Port Aransas at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Port Aransas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Port Aransas
Top eight tracts in Port Aransas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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