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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Western Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Arlington

Tract 48439111561 · Tarrant, TX · pop 4,412 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 48439111561 covers part of the Western Trails area of Arlington, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,412 residents. Against Tarrant County at 50.2%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 11% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$102,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Western Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 86 tracts In Arlington
Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#400 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 32.6395, -97.0825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Western Trails scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
2.5

How Western Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Western Trails risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1115613.4Arlingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 91Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Western Trails

At $2,112 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of Arlington commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

The voucher gap is 23.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 0.8 points below the Tarrant County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439111561

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111561?

Census tract 48439111561 in the Western Trails neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439111561?

Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111561?

3.4% of residents in tract 48439111561 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,412.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111561?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 80th, minority 86th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 48439111561 considered part of Western Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111561 fall within Western Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439111561 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439111561 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 48439111561 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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