Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Govalle Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin
Tract 48453000801 · Travis, TX · pop 2,000 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Govalle area of Austin anchors census tract 48453000801, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $94,801 a year. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$94,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.2669, -97.7015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Govalle scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How Govalle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 84Total filings over 12 yrs
- 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2012)
- 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Govalle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Govalle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.3% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453000801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000801?
Census tract 48453000801 in the Govalle neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000801?
14.1% of residents in tract 48453000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,000.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 38th, minority 67th, housing 81th.
Q4
Is tract 48453000801 considered part of Govalle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000801 fall within Govalle (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 48453000801 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453000801 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 48453000801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
The Drag
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
North Austin Civic Association
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
The Drag
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
West Campus
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
The Drag
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Timber Creek
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Hemphill Park
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Elmhurst Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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