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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Govalle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453000801 · Travis, TX · pop 2,000 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 48453000801 covers part of the Govalle area of Austin, TX, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,000 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 17% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$94,801

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Govalle
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 239 tracts In Austin
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 290 tracts In Travis
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#2,131 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2669, -97.7015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Govalle scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Govalle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Govalle risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0008014.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2012)
  • 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453000801
Filings climbed 200% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Govalle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Govalle

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 84 evictions over 12 years of observation.

49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Travis County average of 44.8%. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.8% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Travis County average of 4.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453000801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000801?

Census tract 48453000801 in the Govalle neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000801?

14.1% of residents in tract 48453000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,000.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 38th, minority 67th, housing 81th.
Q4

Is tract 48453000801 considered part of Govalle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000801 fall within Govalle (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48453000801 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453000801 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48453000801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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