Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Fern Bluff Eviction Risk: Lower , Brushy Creek
Tract 48491020515 · Williamson, TX · pop 3,964 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48491020515 sits in the Fern Bluff area of Brushy Creek, Texas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It lands near the 27th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,107 monthly, set against $139,622 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,491
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$139,622
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brushy Creek and the region
Centroid at 30.5071, -97.7266 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fern Bluff scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brushy Creek
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,107 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brushy Creek
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brushy Creek
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brushy Creek
3.7
How Fern Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fern Bluff
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brushy Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Williamson County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491020515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020515?
Census tract 48491020515 in the Fern Bluff neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491020515?
Median gross rent is $2,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020515?
9.2% of residents in tract 48491020515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,964.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 19th, minority 64th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 48491020515 considered part of Fern Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020515 fall within Fern Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491020515 compare to Brushy Creek overall?
Tract 48491020515 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Brushy Creek at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brushy Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brushy Creek
Top eight tracts in Brushy Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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