Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Rancho Del Cielo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jarrell
Tract 48491021603 · Williamson, TX · pop 3,033 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Rancho Del Cielo area of Jarrell, census tract 48491021603 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,820 a month against an average household income of $106,313 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$106,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jarrell and the region
Centroid at 30.7860, -97.6450 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rancho Del Cielo scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jarrell
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,820 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jarrell
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jarrell
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jarrell
5.5
How Rancho Del Cielo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rancho Del Cielo
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jarrell, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Williamson County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491021603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491021603?
Census tract 48491021603 in the Rancho Del Cielo neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491021603?
Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491021603?
3.7% of residents in tract 48491021603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,033.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491021603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 17th, minority 51th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 48491021603 considered part of Rancho Del Cielo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491021603 fall within Rancho Del Cielo (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491021603 compare to Jarrell overall?
Tract 48491021603 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Jarrell at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jarrell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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