Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Rancho Del Cielo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jarrell
Tract 48491021603 ·
Williamson, TX · pop 3,033 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 48491021603 sits in the Rancho Del Cielo area of Jarrell, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 3,033 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 8%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$106,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Rancho Del Cielo
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Jarrell
Moderate
Within county
35th percentile
#88 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#4,107 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jarrell and the region
Centroid at 30.7860, -97.6450 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rancho Del Cielo scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jarrell
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,820 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jarrell
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jarrell
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jarrell
5.5
How Rancho Del Cielo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rancho Del Cielo
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Williamson County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,820, close to the Jarrell average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,313.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491021603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491021603?
Census tract 48491021603 in the Rancho Del Cielo neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491021603?
Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491021603?
3.7% of residents in tract 48491021603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,033.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491021603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 17th, minority 51th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 48491021603 considered part of Rancho Del Cielo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491021603 fall within Rancho Del Cielo (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491021603 compare to Jarrell overall?
Tract 48491021603 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Jarrell at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jarrell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.