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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

The Chateaus at Birch Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Smithfield

Tract 49005000202 · Cache, UT · pop 9,806 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Chateaus at Birch Creek in Smithfield anchors census tract 49005000202, which lands at 2.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That places it near the bottom of the national scale, one of the easier tracts in the country for landlords.

About 16% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,193 monthly, set against $92,035 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 16% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units3,003
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$92,035

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Chateaus at Birch Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Smithfield
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 28 tracts In Cache
Very Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#449 of 716 tracts In Utah
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smithfield and the region

Centroid at 41.8429, -111.8033 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Chateaus at Birch Creek scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smithfield
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smithfield
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smithfield
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smithfield
2.7

How The Chateaus at Birch Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Chateaus at Birch Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 000202Smithfield: 1.81.8Smithfieldparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 0.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2014)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 490050002022006: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2008: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (2.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (0.29/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (0.59/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Chateaus at Birch Creek

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smithfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cache County average of 3.6 and below the Utah statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 49005000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49005000202?

Census tract 49005000202 in the The Chateaus at Birch Creek neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49005000202?

Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49005000202?

1.8% of residents in tract 49005000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,806.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49005000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 25th, minority 21th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 49005000202 considered part of The Chateaus at Birch Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49005000202 fall within The Chateaus at Birch Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49005000202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 49005000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.92% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 49005000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 49005000202 compare to Smithfield overall?

Tract 49005000202 scores 1.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Smithfield at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smithfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smithfield

Top eight tracts in Smithfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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