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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Bensley Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellwood

Tract 51041100404 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 2,516 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 6.9/10, tract 51041100404 in Bensley Village in Bellwood ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,516 residents. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $939 a month against an average household income of $45,865 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 38% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units941
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$45,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bensley Village
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bellwood
Moderate
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#350 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellwood and the region

Centroid at 37.4234, -77.4332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bensley Village scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellwood
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$939 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellwood
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellwood
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellwood
8.3

How Bensley Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bensley Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 100404Bellwood: 4.04.0Bellwoodparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,949Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 37.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 49.5%Peak (2011)
  • 160Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411004042010: 277 filings (39.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 377 filings (49.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 345 filings (45.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 280 filings (36.75/100 renter HHs)2014: 285 filings (37.40/100 renter HHs)2015: 225 filings (29.53/100 renter HHs)2016: 160 filings (24.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bensley Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bensley Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100404?

Census tract 51041100404 in the Bensley Village neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100404?

Median gross rent is $939/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100404?

15.6% of residents in tract 51041100404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,516.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 73th, minority 81th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100404 considered part of Bensley Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100404 fall within Bensley Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,949 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 37.44% of renter households, peaking at 49.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100404 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100404 compare to Bellwood overall?

Tract 51041100404 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bellwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellwood

Top eight tracts in Bellwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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