Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Edenshire Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51041100822 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,489 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51041100822 in the Edenshire area of Chesterfield County, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,489 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,453
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$130,127
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield County and the region
Centroid at 37.3301, -77.4922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edenshire scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,759 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Edenshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 409Total filings over 7 yrs
- 22.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2016)
- 77Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edenshire
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 409 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 19.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 22.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $130,127, annual rent is just 16%.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100822
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100822?
Census tract 51041100822 in the Edenshire neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100822?
Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100822?
2.4% of residents in tract 51041100822 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,489.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100822?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 3th, minority 59th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100822 considered part of Edenshire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100822 fall within Edenshire (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100822?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 409 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100822 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.63% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100822 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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