Neighborhood · Ranked #38,706 of 84,120 nationally

Tradiations of America Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chester

Tract 51041100823 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,614 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Eviction risk in the Tradiations of America neighborhood of Chester centers on tract 51041100823, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,614 residents. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,566 a month against an average household income of $97,946 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 14% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units2,487

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate7.4%

Median income$97,946

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 37.3645, -77.4857 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tradiations of America scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

7.4% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,566 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chester

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chester

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chester

5.6

How Tradiations of America compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

1,646Total filings over 7 yrs
33.64%Avg annual filing rate
36.2%Peak (2013)
243Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2010 to 2016

Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.2%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.4%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
29.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tradiations of America

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,646 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 33.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.2% of renter households in 2013.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100823

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100823?

Census tract 51041100823 in the Tradiations of America neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51041100823?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100823?

7.4% of residents in tract 51041100823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,614.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100823?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 74th, minority 61th, housing 49th.

Is tract 51041100823 considered part of Tradiations of America?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100823 fall within Tradiations of America (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100823?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,646 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100823 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.64% of renter households, peaking at 36.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51041100823 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51041100823 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 51041100823 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chester at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.