Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Ives Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51041100924 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,267 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51041100924 sits in the Saint Ives area of Chesterfield County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,267. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,989
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$169,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield County and the region
Centroid at 37.5225, -77.6907 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Ives scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Saint Ives compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 194Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2012)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Ives
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Chesterfield County average of 4.2. Court records carry 194 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 14.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $169,840, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100924
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100924?
Census tract 51041100924 in the Saint Ives neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100924?
Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100924?
3.7% of residents in tract 51041100924 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,267.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100924?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 59th, minority 26th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100924 considered part of Saint Ives?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100924 fall within Saint Ives (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100924?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100924 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.50% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100924 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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