Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Knoll Eviction Risk: Lower , Woodlake
Tract 51041101007 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,624 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Oak Knoll in Woodlake is where census tract 51041101007 sits, home to 6,624 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
15% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,130 a month while the average household earns $134,048 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,512
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$134,048
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodlake and the region
Centroid at 37.4201, -77.6772 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Knoll scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodlake
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,130 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodlake
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodlake
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodlake
2.4
How Oak Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 285Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.0%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Knoll
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodlake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 285 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.0% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041101007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041101007?
Census tract 51041101007 in the Oak Knoll neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041101007?
Median gross rent is $2,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041101007?
1.4% of residents in tract 51041101007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,624.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041101007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 29th, minority 36th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51041101007 considered part of Oak Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041101007 fall within Oak Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041101007?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041101007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.05% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041101007 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041101007 compare to Woodlake overall?
Tract 51041101007 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Woodlake at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodlake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodlake
Top eight tracts in Woodlake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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