Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Knoll Eviction Risk: Lower , Woodlake
Tract 51041101007 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,624 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
51041101007 is a census tract in the Oak Knoll area of Woodlake, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,624. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,512
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$134,048
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodlake and the region
Centroid at 37.4201, -77.6772 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Knoll scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodlake
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,130 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodlake
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodlake
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodlake
2.4
How Oak Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 285Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.0%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Knoll
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
The voucher gap is 24.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 285 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $2,130, 12% above the Woodlake average. Filings peaked in 2013 at 26.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 15.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041101007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041101007?
Census tract 51041101007 in the Oak Knoll neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041101007?
Median gross rent is $2,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041101007?
1.4% of residents in tract 51041101007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,624.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041101007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 29th, minority 36th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51041101007 considered part of Oak Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041101007 fall within Oak Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041101007?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041101007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.05% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041101007 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041101007 compare to Woodlake overall?
Tract 51041101007 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Woodlake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodlake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodlake
Top eight tracts in Woodlake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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