Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Camelot Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodburn
Tract 51059440300 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,726 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51059440300 sits in the Camelot area of Woodburn, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. Population here is 2,726. Cost burden runs 11% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units885
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$229,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodburn and the region
Centroid at 38.8444, -77.2273 · click any tract to drill in
Why Camelot scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodburn
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodburn
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodburn
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodburn
6.4
How Camelot compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2013)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 10.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Camelot
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 49% above the Woodburn average.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 5.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 18 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 11.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059440300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059440300?
Census tract 51059440300 in the Camelot neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059440300?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059440300?
5.5% of residents in tract 51059440300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,726.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059440300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 44th, minority 59th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 51059440300 considered part of Camelot?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059440300 fall within Camelot (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059440300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059440300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.77% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059440300 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059440300 compare to Woodburn overall?
Tract 51059440300 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Woodburn at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodburn; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodburn
Top eight tracts in Woodburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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