Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Ardmore Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059440504 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 782 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51059440504 sits in the Ardmore area of Fairfax County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 782 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 25% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairfax County and the region
Centroid at 38.8450, -77.3109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ardmore scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Ardmore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.7%Food insecurity
- 17.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 18.4%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ardmore
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 3/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Model confidence here is 25%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059440504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059440504?
Census tract 51059440504 in the Ardmore neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059440504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 74th, housing -1000th.
Q3
Is tract 51059440504 considered part of Ardmore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059440504 fall within Ardmore (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q4
What share of households in tract 51059440504 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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