Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Ivakota Eviction Risk: Lower , Union Mill
Tract 51059492500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,773 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51059492500 is a census tract in the Ivakota area of Union Mill, VA. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,425
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$239,596
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union Mill and the region
Centroid at 38.7873, -77.3949 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ivakota scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union Mill
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,366 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union Mill
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union Mill
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union Mill
6.2
How Ivakota compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ivakota
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Food insecurity runs 5.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.4/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 3 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059492500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059492500?
Census tract 51059492500 in the Ivakota neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059492500?
Median gross rent is $2,366/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059492500?
2.4% of residents in tract 51059492500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059492500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 51th, minority 35th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51059492500 considered part of Ivakota?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059492500 fall within Ivakota (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059492500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059492500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059492500 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059492500 compare to Union Mill overall?
Tract 51059492500 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Union Mill at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union Mill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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