Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Slash Cottage Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashland
Tract 51085320602 · Hanover County, VA · pop 2,952 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51085320602 is a census tract in the Slash Cottage area of Ashland, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Against Hanover County at 36.2%, 18% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,475
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$56,830
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 37.7416, -77.4760 · click any tract to drill in
Why Slash Cottage scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
5.9
How Slash Cottage compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Slash Cottage
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Hanover County average of 3.9.
At $1,103 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Ashland commands. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $56,830. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085320602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320602?
Census tract 51085320602 in the Slash Cottage neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085320602?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320602?
8.5% of residents in tract 51085320602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,952.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 68th, minority 54th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 51085320602 considered part of Slash Cottage?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51085320602 fall within Slash Cottage (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51085320602 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51085320602 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 51085320602 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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