Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Lydell Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel
Tract 51087200503 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,544 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
51087200503 is a census tract in the Lydell Heights area of Laurel, VA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,544 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,572
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$101,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6294, -77.4961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lydell Heights scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Lydell Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 115Total filings over 2 yrs
- 13.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lydell Heights
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 115 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,452, 10% below the Laurel average.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $101,786, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200503?
Census tract 51087200503 in the Lydell Heights neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200503?
Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200503?
6.8% of residents in tract 51087200503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,544.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 64th, minority 66th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200503 considered part of Lydell Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200503 fall within Lydell Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.01% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200503 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200503 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200503 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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