Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Lydell Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel
Tract 51087200503 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,544 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Lydell Heights area of Laurel anchors census tract 51087200503, which lands at 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,452 monthly, set against $101,786 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,572
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$101,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6294, -77.4961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lydell Heights scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Lydell Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 115Total filings over 2 yrs
- 13.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lydell Heights
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Laurel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 115 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 13.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200503?
Census tract 51087200503 in the Lydell Heights neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200503?
Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200503?
6.8% of residents in tract 51087200503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,544.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 64th, minority 66th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200503 considered part of Lydell Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200503 fall within Lydell Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.01% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200503 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200503 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200503 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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