Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Randolph Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel
Tract 51087200905 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,674 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 51087200905 sits in the Randolph Ridge area of Laurel, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 5,674. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$86,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6515, -77.4796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Randolph Ridge scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,424 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Randolph Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 156Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2016)
- 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Randolph Ridge
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Henrico County average of 47.8%.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 156 filings here across 2 tracked years. At $1,424 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Laurel commands.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 17.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200905?
Census tract 51087200905 in the Randolph Ridge neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200905?
Median gross rent is $1,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200905?
1.9% of residents in tract 51087200905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 67th, minority 73th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200905 considered part of Randolph Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200905 fall within Randolph Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.52% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200905 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200905 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200905 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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