Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Randolph Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel
Tract 51087200905 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,674 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51087200905 covers the Randolph Ridge area of Laurel, home to 5,674 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,424 a month against an average household income of $86,098 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$86,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6515, -77.4796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Randolph Ridge scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,424 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Randolph Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 156Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2016)
- 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Randolph Ridge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Laurel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200905?
Census tract 51087200905 in the Randolph Ridge neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200905?
Median gross rent is $1,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200905?
1.9% of residents in tract 51087200905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 67th, minority 73th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200905 considered part of Randolph Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200905 fall within Randolph Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.52% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200905 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200905 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200905 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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