Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Montresor Eviction Risk: Lower , Waterford
Tract 51107610300 ·
Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,843 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
In the Montresor area of Waterford, census tract 51107610300 scores 5.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #50,062 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,643 monthly, set against $241,302 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 3%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,776
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$241,302
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Montresor
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Waterford
Moderate
Within county
95th percentile
#5 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very High
Within state
45th percentile
#1,210 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterford and the region
Centroid at 39.1928, -77.5613 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montresor scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waterford
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,643 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterford
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterford
2.6
How Montresor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
9Total filings over 1 yrs
6.82%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak (2016)
9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.2%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.3%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montresor
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterford, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610300?
Census tract 51107610300 in the Montresor neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610300?
Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610300?
0.7% of residents in tract 51107610300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,843.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 6th, minority 33th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 51107610300 considered part of Montresor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610300 fall within Montresor (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.82% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107610300 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107610300 compare to Waterford overall?
Tract 51107610300 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Waterford at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.